Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.054056 0.063289 0.073585 0.085913 0.100271 0.116463 0.136111
2025-09-07 0.040390 0.052593 0.067665 0.087629 0.113371 0.145442 0.188446
2025-09-14 0.031488 0.044500 0.061878 0.086752 0.121419 0.168014 0.235427
2025-09-21 0.025203 0.038109 0.056499 0.084554 0.126235 0.185854 0.277646
2025-09-28 0.020567 0.032980 0.051687 0.081848 0.129203 0.200671 0.316764
2025-10-05 0.018103 0.030583 0.050350 0.083820 0.139004 0.226326 0.375044
2025-10-12 0.015881 0.028141 0.048464 0.084449 0.146484 0.248975 0.431201
2025-10-19 0.014010 0.025951 0.046597 0.084698 0.153144 0.270822 0.488520
2025-10-26 0.012627 0.024377 0.045506 0.086036 0.161692 0.296672 0.555753
2025-11-02 0.011640 0.023363 0.045237 0.088741 0.172922 0.328404 0.637308
2025-11-09 0.010097 0.021043 0.042208 0.085804 0.173138 0.339922 0.682467
2025-11-16 0.009075 0.019600 0.040649 0.085466 0.178236 0.361073 0.748534
2025-11-23 0.008075 0.018073 0.038759 0.084283 0.181656 0.379695 0.812691
2025-11-30 0.007472 0.017309 0.038329 0.086084 0.191482 0.412391 0.910037
2025-12-07 0.006720 0.016096 0.036779 0.085245 0.195534 0.433572 0.985628
2025-12-14 0.005964 0.014759 0.034767 0.083088 0.196363 0.447899 1.047949
2025-12-21 0.005270 0.013463 0.032668 0.080430 0.195667 0.458718 1.103629
2025-12-28 0.004951 0.013035 0.032530 0.082369 0.205936 0.495431 1.223691
2026-01-04 0.004585 0.012432 0.031886 0.082987 0.213099 0.525766 1.332351
2026-01-11 0.004235 0.011819 0.031135 0.083232 0.219359 0.554669 1.441084
2026-01-18 0.003973 0.011400 0.030819 0.084547 0.228496 0.591634 1.574539
2026-01-25 0.003795 0.011185 0.031004 0.087206 0.241464 0.639664 1.742269
2026-02-01 0.003393 0.010279 0.029226 0.084318 0.239288 0.648774 1.809093